First Tropical Storm of Hurricane Season Could Hit Caribbean Next Week

Just three days after the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season officially began on June 1, meteorologists are already tracking two storm systems that could bring the first named storm of the season.

AccuWeather is warning that the first storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season could develop as early as next week, with the second of the two systems more likely to become a named storm. If it forms, it would be called Andrea.

According to AccuWeather meteorologists, the first system is a cluster of storms moving from the Caribbean toward the Gulf Coast of Florida through midweek next week, bringing heavy showers and thunderstorms to cities such as Miami and Fort Lauderdale. An area of this system along Florida’s southeast coast could develop into a subtropical or tropical disturbance.

“Risk of development is low,” AccuWeather said, but heavy, flooding rain is still likely mid-to-late next week, between June 8 and June 13.

The second system meteorologists are monitoring is in the Caribbean around the same time. It is expected to develop slowly in the western Caribbean and eastern Gulf and is more likely than the first to become a named storm.

AccuWeather currently says “there is a chance a tropical depression or storm wanders into the Gulf or perhaps drifts onshore and slowly unwinds over Central America, southeastern Mexico, or Cuba before the middle of the month.”

Neither of the systems are currently being spotlighted by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). At the moment, the NHC is alerting to a system off the coast of the Southeastern U.S. Coast, with a 10% chance of forming a tropical cyclone over the next seven days.

Last month, just before hurricane season kicked-off, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) said it was predicting a volatile hurricane season in the Atlantic basin, with a 60% chance of an above-normal season.

In total, NOAA is predicting a range of 13 to 19 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher). Of those, six to 10 are forecast to become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including three to five major hurricanes (category 3,4, or 5, with winds of 111 mph or higher. There is a 30% chance of a near-normal season.

For comparison, the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season featured 18 named storms, 11 hurricanes, and 5 major hurricanes, including Hurricane Milton, which hit Category 5 status in early October, and Hurricane Helene, which forced the closure of New Orleans International (MSY) in September.